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Measuring air pollution

We predict London’s air pollution levels using a model that estimates how pollution will spread over time and distance. The pollutants modelled for the Mayor’s Air Quality Strategy are nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) as these are often linked with health problems. The EU has also set target levels for these pollutants that each member state must achieve.

Every three years we put together the London Atmospheric Emission Inventory (LAEI). Visit the London Datastore to access the latest copy.

This database has information on emissions from all sources in Greater London that can be identified. The current LAEI includes emissions data for the ‘base year’ 2019 and forward projections for years 2025 and 2030. We are work continuously to improve the data and share it with all London boroughs for free.

Understanding different forecasts

The Mayor’s air pollution forecasts are issued by Imperial College London. These are combined forecasts - meaning they are based on a number of public forecasts: airText, Defra (Met Office) and Imperial. As with weather forecasts, there are occasions when the forecast providers will not agree. The Mayor’s forecast will represent the most likely picture drawn from the three forecasts, expected across the whole of London. So, it’s possible that the Mayor’s forecast (which is issued by Imperial) may not be the same as the Imperial's forecast since this is only one of the three inputs.

All forecasts considered in compiling the Mayor’s combined forecast provide information based on the UK Daily Air Quality Index (DAQI). Particulate forecasts relate to a full day (midnight to midnight). There are however differences in the way that current levels for particulate matter (PM10 & PM2.5) are shown between other public forecasts. This is shown on the providers’ websites.

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